Global Pear Market: Volume to Reach 27M Tons and Value to Hit $35.7B by 2030

IndexBox has just published a new report: World - Pears - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights.

The global pear market is poised for continued growth, driven by increasing demand worldwide. Market performance is expected to expand with a CAGR of +0.6% in volume and +2.8% in value from 2023 to 2030, reaching 27M tons and $35.7B, respectively, by the end of the forecast period.

Market Forecast

Driven by increasing demand for pears worldwide, the market is expected to continue an upward consumption trend over the next seven-year period. Market performance is forecast to retain its current trend pattern, expanding with an anticipated CAGR of +0.6% for the period from 2023 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market volume to 27M tons by the end of 2030.

In value terms, the market is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +2.8% for the period from 2023 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market value to $35.7B (in nominal wholesale prices) by the end of 2030.

Consumption

World Consumption of Pears

In 2023, global consumption of pears stood at 26M tons, flattening at 2022 figures. Overall, consumption continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2019 with an increase of 3.5%. Over the period under review, global consumption attained the maximum volume at 26M tons in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2023, consumption stood at a somewhat lower figure.

The global pear market revenue declined modestly to $29.3B in 2023, remaining stable against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). In general, consumption showed a relatively flat trend pattern. Over the period under review, the global market reached the peak level at $30.2B in 2021; however, from 2022 to 2023, consumption failed to regain momentum.

Consumption By Country

China (18M tons) constituted the country with the largest volume of pear consumption, accounting for 70% of total volume. It was followed by the United States (588K tons), with a 2.3% share of total consumption. The third position in this ranking was held by Turkey (464K tons), with a 1.8% share.

From 2013 to 2023, the average annual growth rate of volume in China was relatively modest. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: the United States (-1.4% per year) and Turkey (+0.3% per year).

In value terms, China ($20.2B) led the market, alone. The second position in the ranking was held by the United States ($807M). It was followed by Italy.

From 2013 to 2023, the average annual growth rate of value in China totaled +1.9%. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: the United States (+0.3% per year) and Italy (-4.7% per year).

The countries with the highest levels of pear per capita consumption in 2023 were China (13 kg per person), Italy (7.2 kg per person) and Turkey (5.4 kg per person).

From 2013 to 2023, the most notable rate of growth in terms of consumption, amongst the leading consuming countries, was attained by China (with a CAGR of +0.3%), while consumption for the other global leaders experienced a decline in the per capita consumption figures.

Production

World Production of Pears

In 2023, approx. 26M tons of pears were produced worldwide; approximately mirroring the previous year. In general, production recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2019 when the production volume increased by 3.6% against the previous year. Over the period under review, global production attained the maximum volume at 26M tons in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2023, production failed to regain momentum. The general positive trend in terms output was largely conditioned by a relatively flat trend pattern of the harvested area and a modest expansion in yield figures.

In value terms, pear production declined to $29.1B in 2023 estimated in export price. Overall, production showed a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2014 when the production volume increased by 13% against the previous year. Over the period under review, global production reached the maximum level at $30.3B in 2021; however, from 2022 to 2023, production failed to regain momentum.

Production By Country

China (19M tons) constituted the country with the largest volume of pear production, accounting for 73% of total volume. Moreover, pear production in China exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest producer, Argentina (640K tons), more than tenfold. The United States (626K tons) ranked third in terms of total production with a 2.4% share.

In China, pear production remained relatively stable over the period from 2013-2023. The remaining producing countries recorded the following average annual rates of production growth: Argentina (-3.2% per year) and the United States (-2.4% per year).

Yield

In 2023, the global average yield of pears stood at 18 tons per ha, approximately reflecting the year before. The yield figure increased at an average annual rate of +1.3% over the period from 2013 to 2023; the trend pattern remained consistent, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations throughout the analyzed period. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2016 with an increase of 6.4% against the previous year. The global yield peaked at 18 tons per ha in 2021; however, from 2022 to 2023, the yield stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Harvested Area

In 2023, approx. 1.4M ha of pears were harvested worldwide; leveling off at the previous year. In general, the harvested area recorded a mild downturn. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2018 when the harvested area increased by 2.1% against the previous year. The global harvested area peaked at 1.6M ha in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2023, the harvested area stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Imports

World Imports of Pears

In 2023, after two years of growth, there was decline in purchases abroad of pears, when their volume decreased by -0.5% to 2.7M tons. Overall, imports, however, saw a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2014 with an increase of 11%. As a result, imports reached the peak of 2.7M tons; afterwards, it flattened through to 2023.

In value terms, pear imports stood at $3.1B in 2023. Over the period under review, imports, however, continue to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 with an increase of 10% against the previous year. Global imports peaked in 2023 and are expected to retain growth in the near future.

Imports By Country

In 2023, Indonesia (252K tons), Russia (224K tons), Germany (187K tons), Brazil (159K tons), the Netherlands (138K tons), France (129K tons), Italy (127K tons), the UK (108K tons), Hong Kong SAR (82K tons), Spain (77K tons), the United States (73K tons) and Kazakhstan (69K tons) represented the main importer of pears in the world, achieving 61% of total import. Belarus (68K tons) held a minor share of total imports.

From 2013 to 2023, the most notable rate of growth in terms of purchases, amongst the leading importing countries, was attained by Belarus (with a CAGR of +7.4%), while imports for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Indonesia ($353M), Germany ($278M) and Russia ($194M) appeared to be the countries with the highest levels of imports in 2023, together comprising 27% of global imports.

Among the main importing countries, Indonesia, with a CAGR of +12.4%, recorded the highest growth rate of the value of imports, over the period under review, while purchases for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices By Country

The average pear import price stood at $1,146 per ton in 2023, increasing by 2.1% against the previous year. In general, the import price, however, saw a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2020 an increase of 9.8% against the previous year. Global import price peaked at $1,161 per ton in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2023, import prices remained at a lower figure.

Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was the United States ($1,661 per ton), while Kazakhstan ($641 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2013 to 2023, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Indonesia (+5.1%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Exports

World Exports of Pears

In 2023, overseas shipments of pears decreased by -7.8% to 2.5M tons for the first time since 2019, thus ending a three-year rising trend. In general, exports recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2014 with an increase of 9.6% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the global exports hit record highs at 2.7M tons in 2017; however, from 2018 to 2023, the exports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, pear exports contracted slightly to $2.7B in 2023. Over the period under review, exports, however, recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2020 when exports increased by 9.6%. Over the period under review, the global exports reached the peak figure at $2.8B in 2022, and then contracted modestly in the following year.

Exports By Country

China (479K tons), the Netherlands (366K tons), Argentina (312K tons), Belgium (282K tons) and South Africa (241K tons) represented roughly 68% of total exports in 2023. It was distantly followed by Spain (123K tons), achieving a 5% share of total exports. The United States (111K tons), Poland (109K tons), Portugal (71K tons), Turkey (70K tons), Italy (61K tons), Chile (43K tons) and Belarus (40K tons) followed a long way behind the leaders.

From 2013 to 2023, the most notable rate of growth in terms of shipments, amongst the main exporting countries, was attained by Turkey (with a CAGR of +18.8%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, China ($536M), the Netherlands ($447M) and Belgium ($299M) were the countries with the highest levels of exports in 2023, with a combined 47% share of global exports. Argentina, South Africa, the United States, Spain, Chile, Italy, Portugal, Poland, Turkey and Belarus lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 43%.

Among the main exporting countries, Turkey, with a CAGR of +18.0%, recorded the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of exports, over the period under review, while shipments for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Export Prices By Country

In 2023, the average pear export price amounted to $1,100 per ton, surging by 6.5% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the export price showed a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2020 an increase of 9%. Over the period under review, the average export prices attained the maximum in 2023 and is likely to see steady growth in years to come.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major exporting countries. In 2023, amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Chile ($2,750 per ton), while Belarus ($428 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2013 to 2023, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Chile (+9.1%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform