Starch Manufacture Residues Market

The article discusses the increasing demand for residues of starch manufacture globally, with a forecasted growth in market performance. It provides insights into market trends, consumption patterns, production volumes, import and export data, as well as average prices over the period from 2012 to 2022. Key highlights include major consuming and producing countries, as well as notable fluctuations in market values and volumes.

Market Forecast

Driven by increasing demand for residues of starch manufacture worldwide, the market is expected to continue an upward consumption trend over the next eight-year period. Market performance is forecast to decelerate, expanding with an anticipated CAGR of +3.0% for the period from 2022 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market volume to 86M tons by the end of 2030.

In value terms, the market is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +5.3% for the period from 2022 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market value to $49.9B (in nominal prices) by the end of 2030.

Consumption

World Consumption of Residues Of Starch Manufacture

In 2022, consumption of residues of starch manufacture was finally on the rise to reach 67M tons after three years of decline. Overall, the total consumption indicated a pronounced increase from 2012 to 2022: its volume increased at an average annual rate of +4.5% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, consumption decreased by -5.0% against 2018 indices. Global consumption peaked at 71M tons in 2018; however, from 2019 to 2022, consumption remained at a lower figure.

The global starch manufacture residues market size was estimated at $33.1B in 2022, remaining relatively unchanged against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). The market value increased at an average annual rate of +4.6% from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. Global consumption peaked at $34.9B in 2018; however, from 2019 to 2022, consumption remained at a lower figure.

Consumption By Country

The countries with the highest volumes of consumption in 2022 were China (11M tons), the United States (6.2M tons) and India (4.2M tons), with a combined 32% share of global consumption.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for the United States (with a CAGR of +10.0%), while consumption for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, China ($2.7B), the United States ($2.3B) and India ($2.1B) constituted the countries with the highest levels of market value in 2022, together comprising 22% of the global market.

The United States, with a CAGR of +9.2%, recorded the highest rates of growth with regard to market size in terms of the main consuming countries over the period under review, while market for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In 2022, the highest levels of starch manufacture residues per capita consumption was registered in the Netherlands (103 kg per person), followed by France (38 kg per person), Japan (21 kg per person) and the UK (20 kg per person), while the world average per capita consumption of starch manufacture residues was estimated at 8.6 kg per person.

In the Netherlands, starch manufacture residues per capita consumption increased at an average annual rate of +2.2% over the period from 2012-2022. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: France (+1.7% per year) and Japan (+3.9% per year).

Production

World Production of Residues Of Starch Manufacture

In 2022, production of residues of starch manufacture increased by 1.2% to 71M tons, rising for the second consecutive year after two years of decline. In general, the total production indicated moderate growth from 2012 to 2022: its volume increased at an average annual rate of +4.9% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, production increased by +1.3% against 2020 indices. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2017 when the production volume increased by 13% against the previous year. Over the period under review, global production reached the maximum volume at 73M tons in 2018; however, from 2019 to 2022, production stood at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, starch manufacture residues production stood at $32.9B in 2022 estimated in export price. The total output value increased at an average annual rate of +4.5% from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2014 when the production volume increased by 19%. Global production peaked at $35.3B in 2018; however, from 2019 to 2022, production failed to regain momentum.

Production By Country

The countries with the highest volumes of production in 2022 were China (12M tons), the United States (7.5M tons) and India (4.2M tons), together accounting for 34% of global production. France, Japan, Belgium, Russia, Germany, Brazil, Pakistan, the Netherlands, Indonesia and Nigeria lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 27%.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for Belgium (with a CAGR of +28.3%), while production for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Imports

World Imports of Residues Of Starch Manufacture

In 2022, supplies from abroad of residues of starch manufacture was finally on the rise to reach 4.6M tons after four years of decline. In general, imports continue to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. Over the period under review, global imports attained the maximum at 4.9M tons in 2017; however, from 2018 to 2022, imports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, starch manufacture residues imports rose notably to $2.1B in 2022. The total import value increased at an average annual rate of +2.1% from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2021 with an increase of 15%. Global imports peaked in 2022 and are likely to continue growth in years to come.

Imports By Country

In 2022, South Korea (932K tons), distantly followed by the Netherlands (464K tons), Germany (376K tons), Japan (340K tons), Belgium (309K tons) and Indonesia (216K tons) were the major importers of residues of starch manufacture, together making up 57% of total imports. Chile (183K tons), France (161K tons), the United States (131K tons), China (114K tons), Colombia (112K tons), Guatemala (99K tons) and Italy (90K tons) followed a long way behind the leaders.

From 2012 to 2022, average annual rates of growth with regard to starch manufacture residues imports into South Korea stood at +1.6%. At the same time, Guatemala (+19.4%), Chile (+5.9%), the United States (+5.0%), Italy (+4.1%) and Japan (+3.9%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, Guatemala emerged as the fastest-growing importer imported in the world, with a CAGR of +19.4% from 2012-2022. Colombia, Belgium, France and the Netherlands experienced a relatively flat trend pattern. By contrast, Indonesia (-1.1%), Germany (-1.5%) and China (-3.7%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. While the share of South Korea (+2.8 p.p.), Japan (+2.3 p.p.), Guatemala (+1.8 p.p.) and Chile (+1.7 p.p.) increased significantly, the shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, South Korea ($266M), Indonesia ($181M) and Chile ($161M) constituted the countries with the highest levels of imports in 2022, with a combined 28% share of global imports. Japan, the Netherlands, Germany, Colombia, Belgium, France, the United States, Italy, China and Guatemala lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 34%.

Among the main importing countries, Guatemala, with a CAGR of +9.6%, recorded the highest growth rate of the value of imports, over the period under review, while purchases for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices By Country

The average starch manufacture residues import price stood at $465 per ton in 2022, growing by 5.4% against the previous year. Over the period from 2012 to 2022, it increased at an average annual rate of +2.0%. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 an increase of 22%. Over the period under review, average import prices attained the peak figure in 2022 and is expected to retain growth in the immediate term.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major importing countries. In 2022, amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Chile ($879 per ton), while Belgium ($205 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Germany (+5.7%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Exports

World Exports of Residues Of Starch Manufacture

In 2022, shipments abroad of residues of starch manufacture increased by 14% to 8.4M tons, rising for the third year in a row after two years of decline. The total export volume increased at an average annual rate of +4.4% from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. As a result, the exports attained the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

In value terms, starch manufacture residues exports expanded remarkably to $2.1B in 2022. The total export value increased at an average annual rate of +2.3% from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2013 when exports increased by 22% against the previous year. The global exports peaked in 2022 and are likely to see gradual growth in years to come.

Exports By Country

In 2022, Belgium (2.5M tons), distantly followed by China (1.5M tons), the United States (1.4M tons) and Germany (1.1M tons) represented the main exporters of residues of starch manufacture, together creating 78% of total exports. The following exporters - Thailand (349K tons), France (332K tons), the Netherlands (248K tons), Austria (173K tons), Hungary (170K tons) and Bulgaria (128K tons) - together made up 17% of total exports.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of shipments, amongst the key exporting countries, was attained by Belgium (with a CAGR of +24.1%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the largest starch manufacture residues supplying countries worldwide were the United States ($713M), China ($475M) and France ($120M), together comprising 63% of global exports.

China, with a CAGR of +12.4%, saw the highest growth rate of the value of exports, in terms of the main exporting countries over the period under review, while shipments for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Export Prices By Country

The average starch manufacture residues export price stood at $246 per ton in 2022, which is down by -6.6% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the export price saw a perceptible curtailment. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2013 when the average export price increased by 15%. As a result, the export price attained the peak level of $349 per ton. From 2014 to 2022, the average export prices failed to regain momentum.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major exporting countries. In 2022, amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was the United States ($518 per ton), while Belgium ($28 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Hungary (+3.9%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform