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World - Whole Fresh Milk - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights
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The article discusses the global market for whole fresh milk, with insights on consumption, production, import, and export trends. It highlights key statistics such as market volume, value, and consumption patterns. Countries with the highest consumption, production, and import/export volumes are also identified, along with trends in average prices. The data presented spans from 2012 to 2022, with forecasts up to 2030, providing a comprehensive overview of the whole fresh milk market.
Market Forecast
Driven by increasing demand for whole fresh milk worldwide, the market is expected to continue an upward consumption trend over the next eight-year period. Market performance is forecast to retain its current trend pattern, expanding with an anticipated CAGR of +2.1% for the period from 2022 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market volume to 1,081M tons by the end of 2030.
In value terms, the market is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +4.2% for the period from 2022 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market value to $1,019.8B (in nominal prices) by the end of 2030.
Consumption
World Consumption of Whole Fresh Milk
In 2022, after ten years of growth, there was decline in consumption of whole fresh milk, when its volume decreased by -0.1% to 917M tons. The total consumption volume increased at an average annual rate of +2.0% from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with only minor fluctuations being recorded in certain years. Global consumption peaked at 918M tons in 2021, and then fell modestly in the following year.
The global whole fresh milk market size stood at $732.7B in 2022, increasing by 1.9% against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). The market value increased at an average annual rate of +1.8% over the period from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained consistent, with only minor fluctuations in certain years. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2020 when the market value increased by 9.6%. As a result, consumption reached the peak level of $746B. From 2021 to 2022, the growth of the global market remained at a lower figure.
Consumption By Country
The country with the largest volume of whole fresh milk consumption was India (210M tons), accounting for 23% of total volume. Moreover, whole fresh milk consumption in India exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest consumer, the United States (102M tons), twofold. The third position in this ranking was taken by Pakistan (59M tons), with a 6.4% share.
In India, whole fresh milk consumption expanded at an average annual rate of +4.7% over the period from 2012-2022. The remaining consuming countries recorded the following average annual rates of consumption growth: the United States (+1.1% per year) and Pakistan (+4.5% per year).
In value terms, India ($149B), the United States ($118.9B) and Pakistan ($43.8B) constituted the countries with the highest levels of market value in 2022, with a combined 43% share of the global market.
India, with a CAGR of +6.1%, recorded the highest rates of growth with regard to market size in terms of the main consuming countries over the period under review, while market for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
In 2022, the highest levels of whole fresh milk per capita consumption was registered in New Zealand (4,190 kg per person), followed by the Netherlands (882 kg per person), Germany (412 kg per person) and France (380 kg per person), while the world average per capita consumption of whole fresh milk was estimated at 1.6 kg per person.
In New Zealand, whole fresh milk per capita consumption remained relatively stable over the period from 2012-2022. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: the Netherlands (+2.2% per year) and Germany (+0.9% per year).
Production
World Production of Whole Fresh Milk
In 2022, production of whole fresh milk decreased by -0.2% to 916M tons for the first time since 2011, thus ending a ten-year rising trend. The total output volume increased at an average annual rate of +2.0% from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained consistent, with only minor fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2014 with an increase of 3.4% against the previous year. Over the period under review, global production attained the maximum volume at 918M tons in 2021, and then dropped modestly in the following year. The general positive trend in terms output was largely conditioned by a measured expansion of the number of producing animals and a relatively flat trend pattern in yield figures.
In value terms, whole fresh milk production totaled $720.1B in 2022 estimated in export price. In general, production, however, saw a relatively flat trend pattern. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2020 when the production volume increased by 11%. As a result, production attained the peak level of $737.8B. From 2021 to 2022, global production growth remained at a lower figure.
Production By Country
The country with the largest volume of whole fresh milk production was India (210M tons), accounting for 23% of total volume. Moreover, whole fresh milk production in India exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest producer, the United States (102M tons), twofold. The third position in this ranking was taken by Pakistan (59M tons), with a 6.4% share.
In India, whole fresh milk production expanded at an average annual rate of +4.7% over the period from 2012-2022. The remaining producing countries recorded the following average annual rates of production growth: the United States (+1.1% per year) and Pakistan (+4.5% per year).
Imports
World Imports of Whole Fresh Milk
Global whole fresh milk imports was estimated at 10M tons in 2022, increasing by 6.4% against the previous year's figure. The total import volume increased at an average annual rate of +1.7% over the period from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained consistent, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations being observed throughout the analyzed period. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2014 when imports increased by 9.3%. Global imports peaked at 11M tons in 2017; however, from 2018 to 2022, imports failed to regain momentum.
In value terms, whole fresh milk imports surged to $6.5B in 2022. The total import value increased at an average annual rate of +3.3% over the period from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2017 when imports increased by 22%. Over the period under review, global imports hit record highs in 2022 and are likely to see gradual growth in the immediate term.
Imports By Country
In 2022, Germany (2.6M tons), distantly followed by Belgium (1,027K tons), the Netherlands (1,018K tons), Italy (645K tons), China (634K tons), Ireland (633K tons) and Lithuania (569K tons) were the largest importers of whole fresh milk, together mixing up 68% of total imports. The following importers - the UK (258K tons), Croatia (212K tons) and Romania (205K tons) - each amounted to a 6.5% share of total imports.
From 2012 to 2022, average annual rates of growth with regard to whole fresh milk imports into Germany stood at +4.8%. At the same time, China (+24.7%), Croatia (+10.5%), the UK (+8.7%), Ireland (+8.3%), the Netherlands (+7.4%), Romania (+5.7%), Lithuania (+3.9%) and Belgium (+2.1%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, China emerged as the fastest-growing importer imported in the world, with a CAGR of +24.7% from 2012-2022. By contrast, Italy (-9.9%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. Germany (+6.3 p.p.), China (+5.3 p.p.), the Netherlands (+4.1 p.p.) and Ireland (+2.8 p.p.) significantly strengthened its position in terms of the global imports, while Italy saw its share reduced by -14.7% from 2012 to 2022, respectively. The shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.
In value terms, Germany ($1.5B) constitutes the largest market for imported whole fresh milk worldwide, comprising 22% of global imports. The second position in the ranking was held by China ($602M), with a 9.2% share of global imports. It was followed by the Netherlands, with an 8.9% share.
From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value in Germany amounted to +7.6%. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: China (+24.4% per year) and the Netherlands (+7.9% per year).
Import Prices By Country
The average whole fresh milk import price stood at $628 per ton in 2022, with an increase of 9.7% against the previous year. Over the last decade, it increased at an average annual rate of +1.5%. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2013 when the average import price increased by 17% against the previous year. Over the period under review, average import prices hit record highs at $636 per ton in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2022, import prices failed to regain momentum.
There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major importing countries. In 2022, amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was China ($950 per ton), while Belgium ($431 per ton) was amongst the lowest.
From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Lithuania (+3.3%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
Exports
World Exports of Whole Fresh Milk
In 2022, approx. 9.6M tons of whole fresh milk were exported worldwide; falling by -3.1% on the previous year's figure. In general, exports continue to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2014 with an increase of 9.4%. Over the period under review, the global exports hit record highs at 10M tons in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2022, the exports stood at a somewhat lower figure.
In value terms, whole fresh milk exports totaled $6.2B in 2022. Over the period under review, exports, however, showed a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2017 with an increase of 19%. Over the period under review, the global exports attained the maximum in 2022 and are expected to retain growth in the immediate term.
Exports By Country
The biggest shipments were from Germany (1,256K tons), Belgium (917K tons), the Czech Republic (869K tons), the UK (760K tons) and Poland (733K tons), together amounting to 47% of total export. France (450K tons) held the next position in the ranking, followed by Austria (434K tons). All these countries together took near 9.2% share of total exports. Latvia (390K tons), the Netherlands (347K tons), Australia (294K tons), Slovenia (286K tons), Hungary (285K tons) and Luxembourg (273K tons) took a relatively small share of total exports.
From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for Australia (with a CAGR of +14.5%), while shipments for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
In value terms, the largest whole fresh milk supplying countries worldwide were Germany ($819M), Belgium ($548M) and the Czech Republic ($478M), together accounting for 30% of global exports. Poland, the UK, Austria, France, the Netherlands, Latvia, Australia, Slovenia, Hungary and Luxembourg lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 41%.
Poland, with a CAGR of +13.5%, saw the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of exports, in terms of the main exporting countries over the period under review, while shipments for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
Export Prices By Country
The average whole fresh milk export price stood at $648 per ton in 2022, with an increase of 15% against the previous year. Overall, the export price saw a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 an increase of 18%. Over the period under review, the average export prices hit record highs in 2022 and is likely to see gradual growth in the immediate term.
Average prices varied somewhat amongst the major exporting countries. In 2022, major exporting countries recorded the following prices: in Austria ($690 per ton) and the Netherlands ($679 per ton), while Latvia ($536 per ton) and the UK ($543 per ton) were amongst the lowest.
From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Latvia (+3.5%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
This report provides an in-depth analysis of the global whole fresh milk market. Within it, you will discover the latest data on market trends and opportunities by country, consumption, production and price developments, as well as the global trade (imports and exports). The forecast exhibits the market prospects through 2030.
Product coverage:
- FCL 1130 - Camel milk
- FCL 882 - Cow milk, whole (fresh)
- FCL 1020 - Goat milk
- FCL 982 - Sheep milk
- FCL 951 - Buffalo milk
Country coverage:
Worldwide - the report contains statistical data for 200 countries and includes detailed profiles of the 50 largest consuming countries:
- USA
- China
- Japan
- Germany
- United Kingdom
- France
- Brazil
- Italy
- Russian Federation
- India
- Canada
- Australia
- Republic of Korea
- Spain
- Mexico
- Indonesia
- Netherlands
- Turkey
- Saudi Arabia
- Switzerland
- Sweden
- Nigeria
- Poland
- Belgium
- Argentina
- Norway
- Austria
- Thailand
- United Arab Emirates
- Colombia
- Denmark
- South Africa
- Malaysia
- Israel
- Singapore
- Egypt
- Philippines
- Finland
- Chile
- Ireland
- Pakistan
- Greece
- Portugal
- Kazakhstan
- Algeria
- Czech Republic
- Qatar
- Peru
- Romania
- Vietnam
+ the largest producing countries
Data coverage:
- Global market volume and value
- Per Capita consumption
- Forecast of the market dynamics in the medium term
- Global production, split by region and country
- Global trade (exports and imports)
- Export and import prices
- Market trends, drivers and restraints
- Key market players and their profiles
Reasons to buy this report:
- Take advantage of the latest data
- Find deeper insights into current market developments
- Discover vital success factors affecting the market
This report is designed for manufacturers, distributors, importers, and wholesalers, as well as for investors, consultants and advisors.
In this report, you can find information that helps you to make informed decisions on the following issues:
- How to diversify your business and benefit from new market opportunities
- How to load your idle production capacity
- How to boost your sales on overseas markets
- How to increase your profit margins
- How to make your supply chain more sustainable
- How to reduce your production and supply chain costs
- How to outsource production to other countries
- How to prepare your business for global expansion
While doing this research, we combine the accumulated expertise of our analysts and the capabilities of artificial intelligence. The AI-based platform, developed by our data scientists, constitutes the key working tool for business analysts, empowering them to discover deep insights and ideas from the marketing data.
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1. INTRODUCTION
Making Data-Driven Decisions to Grow Your Business
- REPORT DESCRIPTION
- RESEARCH METHODOLOGY AND AI PLATFORM
- DATA-DRIVEN DECISIONS FOR YOUR BUSINESS
- GLOSSARY AND SPECIFIC TERMS
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2. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
A Quick Overview of Market Performance
- KEY FINDINGS
- MARKET TRENDS This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO
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3. MARKET OVERVIEW
Understanding the Current State of The Market and Its Prospects
- MARKET SIZE
- CONSUMPTION BY COUNTRY
- MARKET FORECAST TO 2030
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4. MOST PROMISING PRODUCT
Finding New Products to Diversify Your Business
This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO- TOP PRODUCTS TO DIVERSIFY YOUR BUSINESS
- BEST-SELLING PRODUCTS
- MOST CONSUMED PRODUCT
- MOST TRADED PRODUCT
- MOST PROFITABLE PRODUCT FOR EXPORT
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5. MOST PROMISING SUPPLYING COUNTRIES
Choosing the Best Countries to Establish Your Sustainable Supply Chain
This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO- TOP COUNTRIES TO SOURCE YOUR PRODUCT
- TOP PRODUCING COUNTRIES
- COUNTRIES WITH TOP YIELDS
- TOP EXPORTING COUNTRIES
- LOW-COST EXPORTING COUNTRIES
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6. MOST PROMISING OVERSEAS MARKETS
Choosing the Best Countries to Boost Your Exports
This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO- TOP OVERSEAS MARKETS FOR EXPORTING YOUR PRODUCT
- TOP CONSUMING MARKETS
- UNSATURATED MARKETS
- TOP IMPORTING MARKETS
- MOST PROFITABLE MARKETS
7. GLOBAL PRODUCTION
The Latest Trends and Insights into The Industry
- PRODUCTION VOLUME AND VALUE
- PRODUCTION BY COUNTRY
- PRODUCING ANIMALS AND YIELD BY COUNTRY
8. GLOBAL IMPORTS
The Largest Importers on The Market and How They Succeed
- IMPORTS FROM 2012–2023
- IMPORTS BY COUNTRY
- IMPORT PRICES BY COUNTRY
9. GLOBAL EXPORTS
The Largest Exporters on The Market and How They Succeed
- EXPORTS FROM 2012–2023
- EXPORTS BY COUNTRY
- EXPORT PRICES BY COUNTRY
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10. PROFILES OF MAJOR PRODUCERS
The Largest Producers on The Market and Their Profiles
This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO -
11. COUNTRY PROFILES
The Largest Markets And Their Profiles
This Chapter is Available Only for the Professional Edition PRO- United States
- China
- Japan
- Germany
- United Kingdom
- France
- Brazil
- Italy
- Russian Federation
- India
- Canada
- Australia
- Republic of Korea
- Spain
- Mexico
- Indonesia
- Netherlands
- Turkey
- Saudi Arabia
- Switzerland
- Sweden
- Nigeria
- Poland
- Belgium
- Argentina
- Norway
- Austria
- Thailand
- United Arab Emirates
- Colombia
- Denmark
- South Africa
- Malaysia
- Israel
- Singapore
- Egypt
- Philippines
- Finland
- Chile
- Ireland
- Pakistan
- Greece
- Portugal
- Kazakhstan
- Algeria
- Czech Republic
- Qatar
- Peru
- Romania
- Vietnam
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LIST OF TABLES
- Key Findings In 2023
- Market Volume, In Physical Terms, 2012–2023
- Market Value, 2012–2023
- Per Capita Consumption, By Country, 2018–2023
- Production, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
- Producing Animals, By Country, 2012-2023
- Yield, By Country, 2012-2023
- Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
- Imports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
- Import Prices, By Country Of Destination, 2012–2023
- Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
- Exports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
- Export Prices, By Country Of Origin, 2012–2023
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LIST OF FIGURES
- Market Volume, In Physical Terms, 2012–2023
- Market Value, 2012–2023
- Consumption, By Country, 2023
- Market Volume Forecast to 2030
- Market Value Forecast to 2030
- Products: Market Size And Growth, By Type
- Products: Average Per Capita Consumption, By Type
- Products: Exports And Growth, By Type
- Products: Export Prices And Growth, By Type
- Production Volume And Growth
- Yield And Growth
- Exports And Growth
- Export Prices And Growth
- Market Size And Growth
- Per Capita Consumption
- Imports And Growth
- Import Prices
- Production, In Physical Terms, 2012–2023
- Production, In Value Terms, 2012–2023
- Producing Animals, 2012–2023
- Yield, 2012–2023
- Production, By Country, 2023
- Production, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
- Producing Animals, By Country, 2023
- Producing Animals, By Country, 2012-2023
- Yield, By Country, 2012-2023
- Imports, In Physical Terms, 2012–2023
- Imports, In Value Terms, 2012–2023
- Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2023
- Imports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
- Imports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
- Import Prices, By Country, 2012–2023
- Exports, In Physical Terms, 2012–2023
- Exports, In Value Terms, 2012–2023
- Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2023
- Exports, In Physical Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
- Exports, In Value Terms, By Country, 2012–2023
- Export Prices, 2012–2023
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